Predictions
May 5th, 2008 at 12:23 pm by Jim Shella under Jim Shella's Political Blog
Its my normal practice to give my read on the races that matter on the day before, so here goes with my predictions for the Indiana Primary:
-President: I said on Indiana Week in Review Friday that it leans Clinton. I think it did.. on Friday. I no longer do. I think its up for grabs. I don’t know who will win.
-Governor (D): Jill Long Thompson. She didn’t run much of a campaign and read (repeat: read) a terrible speech at the Jefferson Jackson Day Dinner but I still think she wins. Infer what you like about how that reflects on Jim Schellinger’s campaign.
-7th District (D): I think André Carson gets through. Woody Myers needed to go negative to get over the top and didn’t. The fact that he and David Orentlicher did battle with one another over the final weekend is good for André.
-5th District (R): John McGoff’s effort to take out Dan Burton fails. McGoff fell short on money and the attention given to the Presidential race hurts him.
-Incumbent Lawmaker (D&R): Nobody falls due to the property tax furor. Check back in the fall.
Tags: Andre Carson, Clinton, Dan Burton, David Orentlicher, Jill Long Thompson, John McGoff, Woody Myers
The Zogby Poll was closest to predicting the Pennsylvania race at 10 pts. Today it has Obama up by 2pts in Indiana and 8pts in North Carolina.
Also, what do you think about todays news on the CBS 2005 Face the Nation interview unearthed, which quotes Clinton agreeing with McCain to stay in Iraq for 50 years?
Original Transcript – quote on page 2:
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/face_22005.pdf
[...] can’t see it going that strongly in her favor. Jim Shella our local political commentariat has backed down from his pronouncement on Friday that Clinton was definitely going to win, downgrading to [...]
Mr. Shella:
Regarding May 9th’s Indiana Week in Review program, I have a few questions. Each and every week you feel compelled to jump in to defend Mike McDaniels’ positions. If you think I exaggerate, you should perhaps have a true impartial observer review your show and give you an opinion on your impartiality (or lack thereof). Do you do interject because you believe Mike isn’t articulate enough to properly put forth the Republicans’ talking points? Also, why do you tolerate Mr. McDaniels’ extreme rudeness, when he chuckles through nearly everything Ann DeLaney says? Do you believe all this is necessary because the Republicans in Indiana have such a weak message that they need all the help they can get? It’s very puzzling for a show that purports to fairly present both sides of the issues.
Are you an impartial observer?